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Bob Mercer is the most known of these two, mainly because he supported Donald Trump for the presidency in , which later led to his departure from the firm in How did the Medallion Fund make such extraordinary returns? The only thing we know is that they use zillionbytes of data to find correlations and relationships in their search for statistical anomalies.

However, Gregory Zuckerman indicates that their first trading strategies were mainly mean-reverting. We also suspect the Medallion Fund uses a lot of seasonal trading strategies. The logic was simple: if they based their strategies on, for example, annual data, they only have observations over years. This is too little to make any meaningful models, and thus they looked for short-term patterns involving huge datasets.

To get statistical significance, they needed huge data samples. The Medallion Fund is not a high-frequency fund but likes to think of itself as a casino. As we all know, the casino has a pretty stable income because of the statistical advantage. But for this advantage to work, the casino needs a high turnover. The same logic is behind the Medallion Fund. To have any meaningful statistical advantage, they need a lot of observations to make a significant prediction. The Medallion Fund makes only a tiny profit per trade.

They use leverage to boost returns and this explains much of the fantastic returns of the Medallion Fund. On the internet we have seen numbers indicating their gearing is on average 10, even going up to 20 at times. Obviously, this explains a lot of the returns. In the fund was in serious problems, but somehow narrowly escaped.

The quote below is taken from pages On Wednesday, things got scary. Simons, Brown, Mercer, and about six others hustled into a central conference room…. One basket of stocks had already plunged so far that Renaissance had to come up with additional collateral to forestall a sale…. The book indicates the fund was just hours from margin calls. Who knows, if the market had continued against them, Medallion perhaps would have been on the graveyard.

Some lenders would have suffered alongside Medallion, creating rip-on effects through the financial system. Tail risk hedging strategies Key takeaways from the Medallion Fund What can quant traders learn from the book? Investing in Cryptocurrencies Supply and demand matters.

The rate of increase of the supply of Bitcoin will decrease until the number of Bitcoin reaches 21 million, which is expected to take place in the year Similarly, the supply of Litecoin will be capped at 84 million units. Initial coin offerings are trending right now.

Outstanding Issues Accounting. While the US has been cracking down on unregulated activities, in countries such as Germany and the UK , cryptocurrencies are treated like "private money" and are not subject to tax outside of commercial use. New York State created the BitLicense system , mandates for companies before conducting business with New York residents.

As of mid, only three BitLicenses have been issued, and a far greater number withdrawn or denied. In Asia, where cryptocurrency demand has been soaring, the Chinese and South Korean governments have taken hard stances on cryptocurrency regulation. Introduction Bitcoin, blockchain, initial coin offerings, ether, exchanges.

Originally known for their reputation as havens for criminals and money launderers, cryptocurrencies have come a long way—with regards to both technological advancement and popularity. The technology underlying cryptocurrencies has been said to have powerful applications in various sectors ranging from healthcare to media. With that said, cryptocurrencies remain controversial. It will also examine the outstanding issues surrounding the space, including their evolving accounting and regulatory treatment.

Cryptocurrencies are digital assets that use cryptography , an encryption technique, for security. Cryptocurrencies are primarily used to buy and sell goods and services, though some newer cryptocurrencies also function to provide a set of rules or obligations for its holders—something we will discuss later. They possess no intrinsic value in that they are not redeemable for another commodity, such as gold. Unlike traditional currency, they are not issued by a central authority and are not considered legal tender.

Objectively, cryptocurrencies are not necessary because government-backed currencies function adequately. For most adopters, the advantages of cryptocurrencies are theoretical. Therefore, mainstream adoption will only come when there is a significant tangible benefit of using a cryptocurrency. So what are the advantages to using them? Pseudonymity Near Anonymity Buying goods and services with cryptocurrencies takes place online and does not require disclosure of identities.

However, a common misconception about cryptocurrencies is that they guarantee completely anonymous transactions. What they actually offer is pseudonymity , which is a near-anonymous state. They allow consumers to complete purchases without providing personal information to merchants. However, from a law enforcement perspective, a transaction can be traced back to a person or entity. Still, amid rising concerns of identity theft and privacy, cryptocurrencies can offer advantages to users.

Peer-to-Peer Purchasing One of the biggest benefits of cryptocurrencies is that they do not involve financial institution intermediaries. With cryptocurrencies, even if a portion were compromised, the remaining portions would continue to be able to confirm transactions. Still, cryptocurrencies are not completely immune from security threats. Fortunately, most of the funds were restored. Cryptocurrencies could also include fractional ownership interests in physical assets such as art or real estate.

Blockchain Technology Explained Blockchain technology underlies Bitcoin and many other cryptocurrencies. It relies on a public, continuously updating ledger to record all transactions that take place. Blockchain is groundbreaking because it allows transactions to be processed without a central authority—such as a bank, the government, or a payments company. The buyer and seller interact directly with each other, removing the need for verification by a trusted third-party intermediary.

It thus cuts out costly middlemen and allows businesses and services to be decentralized. Another distinguishing feature of blockchain technology is its accessibility for involved parties. With blockchain, you and your friend would view the same ledger of transactions. The ledger is not controlled by either of you, but it operates on consensus, so both of you need to approve and verify the transaction for it to be added to the chain. The chain is also secured with cryptography , and significantly, no one can change the chain after the fact.

From a technical perspective, the blockchain utilizes consensus algorithms , and transactions are recorded in multiple nodes instead of on one server. A node is a computer connected to the blockchain network, which automatically downloads a copy of the blockchain upon joining the network. For a transaction to be valid, all nodes need to be in agreement.

Though blockchain technology was conceived as part of Bitcoin in , there may be many other applications. Technology consulting firm CB Insights has identified 27 ways it can fundamentally change processes as diverse as banking, cybersecurity, voting, and academics. The Swedish government, for example, is testing the use of blockchain technology to record land transactions , which are currently recorded on paper and transmitted through physical mail.

Effective mining requires both powerful hardware and software. To address this, miners often join pools to increase collective computing power, allocating miner profits to participants. Groups of miners compete to verify pending transactions and reap the profits, leveraging specialized hardware and cheap electricity.

This competition helps to ensure the integrity of transactions. Cryptocurrency Exchanges Cryptocurrency exchanges are websites where individuals can buy, sell, or exchange cryptocurrencies for other digital currency or traditional currency. The exchanges can convert cryptocurrencies into major government-backed currencies, and can convert cryptocurrencies into other cryptocurrencies.

Almost every exchange is subject to government anti-money laundering regulations, and customers are required to provide proof of identity when opening an account. Instead of exchanges, people sometimes use peer-to-peer transactions via sites like LocalBitcoins , which allow traders to avoid disclosing personal information.

In a peer-to-peer transaction, participants trade cryptocurrencies in transactions via software without the involvement of any other intermediary. Cryptocurrency Wallets Cryptocurrency wallets are necessary for users to send and receive digital currency and monitor their balance. Wallets can be either hardware or software, though hardware wallets are considered more secure.

While the transactions and balances for a bitcoin account is recorded on the blockchain itself, the private key used to sign new transactions is saved inside the Ledger wallet. When you try to create a new transaction, your computer asks the wallet to sign it and then broadcasts it to the blockchain. Since the private key never leaves the hardware wallet, your bitcoins are safe, even if your computer is hacked. In contrast, a software wallet such as the Coinbase wallet is virtual.

Coinbase introduced its Vault service to increase the security of its wallet. Bitcoin Released in by someone under the alias Satoshi Nakamoto, Bitcoin is the most well known of all cryptocurrencies. Despite the complicated technology behind it, payment via Bitcoin is simple. In a transaction, the buyer and seller utilize mobile wallets to send and receive payments. The list of merchants accepting Bitcoin continues to expand, including merchants as diverse as Microsoft, Expedia, and Subway, the sandwich chain.

Although Bitcoin is widely recognized as pioneering, it is not without limitations. For example, it can only process seven transactions a second. By contrast, Visa handles thousands of transactions per second. The time it takes to confirm transactions has also risen. Not only is Bitcoin slower than some of its alternatives, but its functionality is also limited. Other currencies like Bitcoin include Litecoin , Zcash and Dash , which claim to provide greater anonymity.

Ether and Ethereum Ether and currencies based on the Ethereum blockchain have become increasingly popular. However, issues with Ethereum technology have since caused declines in value. Ethereum has seen its share of volatility. Put simply, smart contracts are computer programs that can automatically execute the terms of a contract.

With traditional operations, numerous contracts would be involved just to manufacture a single console, with each party retaining their own paper copies. However, combined with blockchain, smart contracts provide automated accountability. Smart contracts can be leveraged in a few ways: When a truck picks up the manufactured consoles from the factory, the shipping company scans the boxes. Beyond payments, a given worker in production could scan their ID card, which is then verified by third-party sources to ensure that they do not violate labor policies.

Other Popular Cryptocurrencies Litecoin: Launched in , Litecoin functions similarly to Bitcoin in that is also open sourced, decentralized, and backed by cryptography. Zcash: Released in October , Zcash is a relative newcomer in the space. However, there are claims that it is the first truly anonymous cryptocurrency in existence due to its employment of zero knowledge SNARKS, which involves no transaction records whatsoever.

The technology ensures that, despite all the information being encrypted, it is still correct and that double spending is impossible. Monero: Monero possesses unique privacy properties. Ripple: Released in , Ripple offers instant and low-cost international payments. It thus requires less computing power. Investing in Cryptocurrencies As mentioned previously, cryptocurrency has no intrinsic value—so why all the fuss?

People invest in cryptocurrencies for a couple primary reasons. Apart from pure speculation, many invest in cryptocurrencies as a geopolitical hedge. During times of political uncertainty, the price of Bitcoin tends to increase. The supply of Bitcoin is limited by code in the Bitcoin blockchain. The rate of increase of the supply of Bitcoin decreases until the number of Bitcoin reaches 21 million, which is expected to take place in the year As Bitcoin adoption increases, the slowing growth in the number of Bitcoin all but assures that the price of Bitcoin will continue to grow.

Bitcoin is not the only cryptocurrency with limits on issuance.

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